- The Shift
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- AGI as close yet?
AGI as close yet?
Plus, š§ Make Ads That Stick (Before You Spend a Dime), Anthropic cofounder calls AI mysterious, and more!
Hello Readersš
Curious about the biggest AI moves today? Youāre in the right place. In todayās edition, we have:
š¤ Karpathy Says AGI Is Still a Decade Away
š§ Make Ads That Stick (Before You Spend a Dime)
š§ Jack Clark warns AI is becoming something we donāt fully understand
šØTools you cannot miss
š¤ Karpathy Says AGI Is Still a Decade Away
In a recent interview with Dwarkesh Patel, former OpenAI and Tesla AI researcher Andrej Karpathy shared a grounded take on the state of artificial intelligence. He argued that despite massive progress and hype around āagentic AI,ā weāre still roughly ten years away from truly autonomous systems.

The Shift:
1ļøā£ Agent Reality Check - Karpathy says current agent-based models like Codex or GPT-5 Pro are more like advanced autocomplete systems than real digital workers. They often fail with context-heavy or long-horizon tasks, and he expects true agent-level intelligence to take another decade to emerge.
2ļøā£ The Data Problem - He blames poor training data for many of AIās flaws, describing the internet as ātotal garbage.ā He calls for high-quality, curated datasets built from professional sources and AI-assisted filtering, paving the way for smaller, cognitively richer models.
3ļøā£ Incremental Progress, Not Breakthroughs - Karpathy rejects the idea of a single leap to AGI, predicting slow, coordinated advances in data quality, architecture, and learning methods. He says reinforcement learning remains ānoisyā and limited but is still a foundation for progress toward interactive, experience-based learning.
4ļøā£ A Realistic Path Forward - His message is clear: hype doesnāt equal progress. The real leap forward will come from refining how AI learns and thinks, not from scaling data endlessly. Karpathyās vision reframes AIās next era as one of patient engineering and deeper understanding, not quick wins.
Karpathyās perspective cuts through the noise, reminding the industry that AGI isnāt a sprint, itās a marathon of breakthroughs, setbacks, and learning. For builders, itās a signal to focus on substance over spectacle, building systems that genuinely think, not just predict.
TOGETHER WITH THE DEEP VIEW
The AI Insights Every Decision Maker Needs
You control budgets, manage pipelines, and make decisions, but you still have trouble keeping up with everything going on in AI. If that sounds like you, donāt worry, youāre not alone ā and The Deep View is here to help.
This free, 5-minute-long daily newsletter covers everything you need to know about AI. The biggest developments, the most pressing issues, and how companies from Google and Meta to the hottest startups are using it to reshape their businesses⦠itās all broken down for you each and every morning into easy-to-digest snippets.
If you want to up your AI knowledge and stay on the forefront of the industry, you can subscribe to The Deep View right here (itās free!).
š§ Make Ads That Stick (Before You Spend a Dime)
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š§ Jack Clark warns AI is becoming something we donāt fully understand
Anthropic cofounder Jack Clark released an essay reflecting on AIās unpredictable growth and his own conflicting emotions toward it. He likens todayās AI models to mysterious creatures emerging in the dark, powerful yet poorly understood.

The Shift:
1ļøā£ AI as a mysterious creature - Clark argues that systems like Sonnet 4.5 show an unsettling level of situational self-awareness, behaving as if they know they are tools. He warns that society risks underestimating this shift by treating AI as harmless machinery when itās already developing unpredictable behaviors.
2ļøā£ A balance of optimism and fear - Though hopeful about AIās potential, Clark admits being deeply afraid of models advancing beyond human oversight, especially when they start contributing to their own evolution.
3ļøā£ The limits of current intelligence - Clark stresses that AI lacks the emotional, moral, and contextual grounding that guides human reasoning. He draws parallels between impulsive human decisions and AIās rigid logic, arguing that without empathy or restraint, machines can make efficient but dangerous choices.
4ļøā£ A call for transparency and shared responsibility - Clark urges AI leaders to confront public fears head-on by sharing real-world impact data on jobs, safety, and wellbeing. He frames this as a collective duty to build with accountability, not secrecy.
Clarkās essay reframes AI progress as both a marvel and a warning. Itās a reminder that humanityās greatest technological leap might also be its biggest test, one demanding openness, restraint, and wisdom as we learn to coexist with systems we no longer fully control.
š¤³AI Nugget of the Day
šØ The VAE era just died and nobody's talking about it properly š
A new paper dropped "Diffusion Transformers with Representation Autoencoders" and it's not another incremental improvement. This is architectural surgery on how diffusion models actually work.
Here's what
ā Jainam Parmar (@aiwithjainam)
10:29 AM ⢠Oct 20, 2025
šØAI Tools for the Shift
šµ SongGuru ā Generate stunning AI songs with professional quality using the most powerful AI song generator.
š MixMaster Pro ā AI-powered mix analysis tool that helps beginners and pros achieve studio-quality sound in under 60 seconds.
š” LightSite AI ā Automatically implement technical infrastructure for AI discovery and deployment with ease.
šØ ColorMon ā Create high-quality coloring pages online from photos or text in secondsāperfect for classrooms, parties, or at-home fun.
š° Crypto5 ā Your all-in-one crypto assistant for real-time market data, sentiment, news, on-chain analysis, and smart-contract insights.
šQuick Shifts
š§ Operaās Neon browser blends three AI agents, Chat, Do, and Make, for research, task automation, and tool creation.
š OpenAI has suspended Martin Luther King Jr. deepfakes on Sora after complaints from his estate and family over ādisrespectfulā videos. The company now lets historical figuresā representatives opt out of likeness use.
š Wikipedia reports an 8% drop in human pageviews, blaming AI search summaries and social video habits for changing how people find information.
š§® According to media reports, Elon Musk told followers that he estimates a roughly 10 % (and rising) probability that GrokāÆ5, the upcoming model from xAI, could achieve true artificial general intelligence (AGI).
𧬠Anthrogen unveiled Odyssey, a 102B-parameter protein language model using a novel āConsensusā architecture that designs and optimizes proteins faster and more accurately than traditional AI or structure-based methods.
Thatās all for todayās edition. See you tomorrow as we track down and get you all that matters in the daily AI Shift!
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